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Elon Musk claims Tesla Full Self Driving will be available in 2023
How It Started on 2023-07-27
The Full Self Driving story started back in 2013, but I’m not going that far back in time, partly because my own recollection of events is fuzzy about what Elon claimed back then. I’m starting from this year, and Elon declared that with v12, Full Self Driving was going out of beta (therefore implying for the general public that it will indeed be true Full Self Driving). Source: ElectrekHow I See It Going
Full Self Driving will not be out of beta in 2023.How It Is Going as of 2023-09-28
As of 2023-09-28, your Tesla still can’t fetch your bread and newspaper for you.
In October 2016, Tesla released a promotional video entitled “Full Self-Driving Hardware on All Teslas.” It was later admitted by employees that the video had been very carefully prepared and edited. Source : Tesla’s Director of Autopilot software as reported by The Verge
How It Actually Went on 2024-01-01
I am shocked, Full Self Driving was not available in 2023. I mean, this despite the fact that it was never “Full Self Driving” in the first place. I am shocked. Shocked.Elon Musk claims that the first Tesla Cybertrucks will be delivered on November 30, 2023
How It Started on 2023-10-20
During the Q3 2023 earnings call, Elon Musk announced that the first Cybertruck deliveries will take place during a special event on November 30, 2023. Source: Ars Technica
I got at least one thing right: Musk complained again that making Cybertrucks is hard (“we dug our own grave with the Cybertruck”.)
How I See It Going
A few Cybertrucks will be rolled out to a few handpicked customers. It will not be a true mass rollout, more like a beta rollout that should really be an alpha rollout.How It Actually Went on 2023-12-01
YES! It went exactly as some predicted: a grand total of 10 Cybertrucks were delivered to handpicked customers.Personal note: the Cybertruck should not be road legal. It’s a pedestrian killing machine. Hell, its design makes it a car killing machine.
McKinsey says the Metaverse could be worth 5 trillion in 2030
How It Started on 2022-06
In June 2022, McKinsey claimed that the Metaverse had the potential to generate up to 5 trillion (US Dollars) in value by 2030. Source: McKinsey’s website and report
Note the typical use of words such as “potential” and “could”, which means that the big number is just a wild guess pulled out of their collective asses to generate buzz. This type of unsubstantiated claim is exactly what leads to bubbles.